Todd Gurley Is In The Right System At The Right Time

L.A. Chargers561710 Lamar Miller1124.42 Atlanta561413 Green Bay77141 N.Y. Jets52240 Arizona66194 Miami7781 N.Y. Giants67234 Denver661311 Cleveland70161 Washington69170 Cincinnati69202 Tennessee53352 Dallas57186 PlayerNo. of carriesyards per carry New England49928 Chicago642010 Pittsburgh61157 Todd Gurley2025.12 Average63177 Houston62340 San Francisco40841 Seattle7795 Gurley is basically the same back he has always been since he came into the league. If you use broken and missed tackles as a proxy for talent,3The ability to break a tackle or make a man miss is one of the few things a running back has some measure of control over in football. you can see that Gurley makes defenders miss when running against six-man fronts far less than expected. He thrives, like most running backs, when he’s allowed to hit open holes and get to the second level relatively unscathed. New Orleans601312 Detroit61105 Kansas City59229 There are other benefits from repeatedly giving the opponent the same look, however, and they affect Gurley’s performance in important ways. When a team can spread a defense out laterally across the field, it opens up the middle and makes running the ball easier. Running backs with at least 20 carries averaged 4.75 yards per carry against six men in the box from 2016 to 2018.2Through Week 6. That’s well over half a yard higher than the average of 4.09 yards per carry when that same group of runners faced seven defenders near the line of scrimmage. Against eight-man fronts, the average gain falls to 3.59. Facing a loaded box makes running much more difficult.McVay is no rube. He likely realizes that if you are going to run in the NFL, you should do so against a light box. Even better, this is something he can control. An offense exerts quite a bit of influence over how many box defenders it faces by how many wide receivers it chooses to deploy. When offenses play three wideouts, NFL defensive coordinators will typically match body type with body type and send a nickel defensive back in to cover the third receiver, leaving six defenders in the box.As a consequence, Gurley has faced more six-man fronts on his carries than any other running back in football since McVay took over as head coach of the Rams. It has paid serious dividends. So far this season, Gurley is crushing it against those fronts, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. But against a neutral seven-man front, he’s been below league average at just 3.7 yards per attempt. Personnel package Todd Gurley is off to one of the hottest starts in NFL history. After rushing for a league-leading 623 yards and nine touchdowns — plus 247 receiving yards and two more TDs through the air — Gurley has accumulated the fifth-most adjusted yards1Adjusted yards are total yards from scrimmage, with touchdowns converted into 17.8 yards. from scrimmage through six games since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger, joining former Rams greats Marshall Faulk and Eric Dickerson near the top of the list. The Rams are 6-0 on the young season, and Gurley’s breakneck performance is often cited as a catalyst for the team’s success. He has even been in the early discussion for league MVP.But is that really warranted? Does the Rams offense truly run through Gurley, or should we be giving head coach Sean McVay more of the credit?One approach to answering that question is to look at how McVay’s scheme affects Gurley’s performance. So far this year, the Rams have run nearly every offensive play from what is called the “11” personnel: one running back, one tight end and three wide receivers. According to charting from Sports Info Solutions, the Rams have run 95 percent of their offensive plays from this package — 32 percentage points more than the league average of 63 percent. And while heavy utilization of three wide receiver looks isn’t new to McVay — the Rams ran 81 percent of their plays out of “11” in 2017 — 2018 is a massive outlier. McVay appears to have concluded that the deception afforded the offense by lining up with the same personnel package each play is greater than the constraints it places on his play calling. Philadelphia54360 Minnesota62239 Oakland68137 Buffalo642010 Tampa Bay67147 L.A. Rams95%2%0% Carolina59148 Baltimore48261 Indianapolis72183 Melvin Gordon1014.73 The Rams rarely stray from their favorite lookNFL teams by the share of their plays run in each of the three most popular personnel packages, 2018 Gurley thrives when there are fewer defendersNumber of carries and yards per carry against a standard defense of six men in the box, 2017-18 Team11: ONE RB, ONE TE, three WRs12: ONE RB, TWO TEs, TWO WRs21: Two RBs, one TE, two WRs Jacksonville70106 Source: Sports Info Solutions Source: Sports Info Solutions Kareem Hunt1134.91 LeVeon Bell1034.45 So Gurley is the beneficiary, not the proximate cause, of the Rams’ offensive resurgence under McVay. Gurley has been put in a position to succeed and has taken full advantage. Crucially, while the Rams have benefited from being smart in their offensive schemes and decision-making, it’s likely that many teams could emulate them and achieve similar success on the ground. Spreading a defense out and running against a light front is not a particularly novel idea. The commitment shown by running 95 percent of your plays out of a formation that encourages that result, however, is quite innovative. McVay pushes winning edges better than any coach in the NFL — and he, not his running back, is the principal reason that the Rams are currently the toast of the league.Check out our latest NFL predictions. read more

El Shaarawy proud of Romas hardfought win

first_imgStephan El Shaarawy has urged his teammates to continue their fight for a top-four finish after beating Torino 3-2.Roma went 2-0 up thanks to strikes from Nicolò Zaniolo and an Aleksandar Kolarov penalty but Toro levelled back to 2-2 before El Shaarawy’s decisive finish.The win continued a three-game winning streak as they continued the march towards the Champions League spots.“It was an important and hard-fought victory. We had done well in the first half, it’s a pity that we conceded those two goals, but always tried to push for the win,” the Little Pharaoh told Roma TV and Football Italia.Chris Smalling open to a permanent AS Roma deal Andrew Smyth – September 6, 2019 Chris Smalling can “definitely see a longer-term future” for himself at AS Roma should things work out on his loan spell from Manchester United.“It was a win we earned with heart. Torino had never lost away from home this season, so we knew it was going to be tough, but we created numerous scoring opportunities.”El Shaarawy was a substitute after just six minutes, as Cengiz Under pulled up with a thigh strain.“I had no time to warm up, so it wasn’t easy and I had cramp towards the end, but with help from the team we were able to bring home the points.“We hope Cengiz Under can recover as quickly as possible.”last_img read more

Dear Reader Vedran Vuk here filling in for Dav

first_imgDear Reader, Vedran Vuk here, filling in for David Galland. Today, I’m going to approach the subject of owning gold in a different way. Usually, we explain all of its benefits and the characteristics that make gold so special. Though it’s a good case, lots of people remain unconvinced. As a result, today I will explain why you should hold gold even if you think that it is the dumbest thing on earth. Then I’ll offer a short commentary on the fleeting value of fiat currencies. After that, we’ll have an article from guest contributor Chris Marcus on the recent Facebook IPO –what you can do to avoid similar situations, and how we are now better-armed than ever to avoid investments gone wrong. Last, I’ll end it with some Thanksgiving and Black Friday cartoons. Before we get started, I have one small announcement, of which we are very proud: Inc. 5000 magazine has listed Casey Research as one of the 5,000 fastest-growing private businesses in the US (this is the second time in three years we’ve made this list). We owe it all to people like you who believe in and support our work. And we’re working harder than ever to give you more investment options. Consider these new services… Big Tech, for those seeking larger and more stable plays in technology Miller’s Money Forever, a great new letter for those in retirement or planning for it soon To celebrate our continued growth – and to give you a chance to grow right along with us – we’re holding a little “Black Friday” event. It’s a one-day deal on the bedrock publication that built Casey Research, Casey International Speculator (CIS). Today only, you can get a one-year subscription for 50% off. CIS subscribers are enjoying a number of substantial gains right now in early-stage precious metals explorers, like First Majestic Silver Corp. (up 634.4%), Almaden Minerals (up 318.6%), and Alexco Resources Corp. (up 85.5%). Currently, the average CIS portfolio gain is 54.7% – this at a time when most investors are struggling to make any money at all. If you take advantage of this one-day offer, you’ll also get a free subscription to BIG GOLD, which covers mid- and large-cap precious metals producers (a $129 value). If you’ve ever thought about subscribing to CIS, I encourage you to take advantage of this deal today. Like every Casey product, it’s fully and unconditionally guaranteed for 90 days. For more information, please click here. Even if Gold Is Stupid, It’s Still Smart By Vedran Vuk There have been decades of debate in finance over gold – long before the recent, rapid rise in gold prices. Some see gold as a way to diversify into an asset with less direct correlation to the overall market. Others view gold as no more than a lump of yellow metal. It produces no cash flows. How can it be possibly worth anything? In a way, the naysayers are right. Gold does not produce any cash flows, so that naturally makes it suspect. If someone were trying to sell me a stock that produces no cash flows and never will, I’d tell him where to stick that stock –and let me tell you it wouldn’t be inside my brokerage account. However, any company faces this same problem with its products. Take Apple, for example. Does Apple produce cash flows and dividends? Of course it does. At the same time, its products don’t do anything… they’re not much different than a lump of gold. No, I’m not crazy. Your Apple iPad does not produce cash flows. Not a single cent – just like an ounce of gold. Of course, Apple sells iPads to make cash flows and dividends, but really the same is true with gold. Newmont Mining and Barrick Gold also earn cash flows and pay dividends as well by selling their product: gold. However, there’s a reasonable objection to this point. A gold-hater might say, “Wait, I’m still right. Gold is stupid. It’s just a block of metal. An iPad is actually useful and fun.” True, but who is to judge the preferences of others? Gold might be stupid in some people’s eyes, but maybe purchasing an $800 iPad is stupid in others’. Personally, I think that they’re way too expensive. I like the iPad, but at its current price, I could go the rest of my life without owning one. The world is full of products which someone else finds dumb. Here’s another example: Louis Vuitton purses retailing for $3,000. In my personal opinion, if you’re spending that kind of money on a purse, you’re an idiot. Does that mean that I would never invest in Louis Vuitton? Even though I personally think these purses are dumb, my opinion doesn’t change the fact that others continue to buy them. Hence, at the right price, I wouldn’t mind owning shares of the company. The marketplace is not about just betting on products that you think are great, but investing in products that others find worthwhile. This is what the anti-gold crowd doesn’t get. Even if you think that gold is pointless, a whole lot of other people in the world think otherwise – and they are going to keep buying gold as they have been doing for thousands of years. When times get tough and inflation rises, people will buy even more gold. Maybe they’ve all lost their minds, but that won’t change the end result of skyrocketing gold prices. Many societies values precious metals, and they will continue to do so. However, the same can’t be said of many other products. If I buy a $3,000 purse for my wife and a new iPad, what will those be worth in 10 years?  The purse will probably end up in a thrift shop, and I won’t be able to give the iPad away to a homeless man within a decade. With gold, it’s different. If you buy an ounce today, it’s going to worth something a decade from now. Maybe it’ll be worth $5,000 an ounce… or maybe $200, as the naysayers believe. But it certainly won’t be worthless. Even stocks won’t necessarily keep their value. Sure, Apple’s cash flows and dividends seem stable now, but where are they going to be in a decade? That’s a long, long time in the world of tech. Are you sure that they’ll just keep making amazing product after product? I wouldn’t bet on it. Maybe the stock won’t be completely worthless in ten years, but what about a more distant time frame? Would you bet against me in the following proposition? I bet that in 500 years, gold will still hold some value, while Apple’s stock will not. Few companies have retained any value over 500 years. In any time in history with almost any company, I would come out ahead in that bet.  The odds are overwhelmingly in my favor. But there’s a problem with my bet – besides the fact that both bettors will dead in 500 years. What are we going to bet: $1,000, $50,000, or maybe even a billion dollars? Do those stakes sound too high to you? They don’t sound very high to me… have I gone even crazier? No; the crazy person is the one who would accept the bet in US dollars. Even if you’re really optimistic about the country’s immediate future, the long-run track record of fiat paper currencies is pretty bad. Those dollar bills might be worth something in 500 years – in a museum, but not on the street.  Even at a low inflation rate of 2% over 500 years, a million dollars will have the purchasing power of a little over $50 today. Look, maybe you still think that gold is stupid – and that’s fine. But the fact of the matter is that much of the rest of the world doesn’t. In fact, the world has valued gold for the last few thousands of years. This perception has survived wars, recessions, plagues, and natural disasters. Just like some people will keep spending money on expensive purses they don’t need, others will keep buying gold that just sits in a vault and does nothing. Maybe the gold naysayers are right that buying gold is silly, but that’s not going to stop people from doing it. So, here’s the conundrum for the anti-gold crowd. If everyone keeps buying gold regardless of what happens, is it really so stupid to own it? Hey, I think that paper money is the dumbest thing on earth, but that doesn’t stop me from using it. Getting the market right is all about figuring out what other people want, rather than being swayed by your personal biases. As a result, even if you personally think gold is stupid, it still is a smart investment. Some Thoughts on Perception and Money By Vedran Vuk A few years back, I had a good night at the casino. Don’t worry – I’m not much of a gambler, but I do enjoy a low-limit game of Texas hold ’em every once in a while. If I play my cards just right, I can pretty safely walk out of the casino earning about minimum wage for my time there. To say the least, I shouldn’t quit my day job for professional poker. Anyway, on this particular night, I had done much better than average and was cashing in several hundred in chips. The lady behind the cage counted out my bills and handed me the money. To my surprise, she included an extremely wrinkled and old $100 bill – the one before Ben Franklin’s big face. I hadn’t seen one in a decade. I was about to walk away, but then it hit me. I turned back to her and said, “Wait, I don’t want this bill. Can you give me a new one?”, and she did. Why did I turn back? At the time, I was living in the inner city of a major metropolitan area. Stores in such areas always have problems with counterfeit bills and scam artists. Sometimes, even a brand-new hundred-dollar bill is almost useless, as no one wants to take it. If you have something like an old hundred-dollar bill, you can pretty much only use it at Walgreens or Walmart. In very real terms, the old bill was almost useless currency to me. It’s amazing how our perceptions of paper money can change so quickly. Fifteen years ago, I would have been more than happy to hold the bill in my wallet. Now, I didn’t want anything to do with it. What had changed? Just the ink on the paper… kind of scary in a way. It goes to show that there’s no intrinsic value to paper money. Preparing for and Adjusting to the Market By Chris Marcus, Guest Contributor Many investors have expressed frustration over the recent Facebook IPO and its subsequent trading. Some think that Facebook is an example of a systematic bias favoring wealthier investors who can access earlier stages of the funding process prior to a company going public, and the small, retail investor is the one who loses when the IPO finally comes out and goes bust. That may well be true. However, rather than focusing on the unfairness, we should find better ways to protect ourselves in these situations. After all, no one is forcing us to invest in Facebook. Fortunately, it is possible to do something about these sorts of fiascos. Always remember that trading is a process where one must not think about what is fair, but instead about what is likely. Once that becomes part of your mindset, a more effective game plan can be developed. With that in mind, here are a few important ideas to consider when making trading decisions. Lesson #1 – Do Not Be Afraid to Pass Perhaps you also thought a Facebook valuation of $100 billion was a bit rich. I exercised my choice not to buy it. If I felt extremely confident that it was overpriced, I had the option to short it. Life goes on without owning shares of Facebook. With the myriad of securities and ETFs currently available, you can choose to be selective and focus on the opportunities that you are most confident in. Just because it’s new and hot doesn’t make an IPO a good investment. If you know more about Facebook than the other people trading it and can profitably execute both the entry and exit points of the trade, then it might be a great opportunity. If you don’t understand how Facebook could justify that valuation, then it’s OK to pass. You can have an opinion on a security without needing to have a position in it. Sometimes just following the name and continuing to update your view can lead to a better opportunity at a later date. By then, you might also have more familiarity with the name and can be even more confident in your decision-making. Rule # 2 – Be Careful Whom You Listen to and Trade Against By now investors should also be aware that different analysts have different reasons for saying different things. The past few years have revealed enough scandals to remind us to be careful about who and what we listen to. However, it is impossible to be at all places at all times; trustworthy outside research is extremely valuable. The key is to find the correct balance between doing your own homework and carefully outsourcing other parts of your research. As you read the opinions of different analysts, keep track of who is consistent and accurate. Study the decision-making of the person and see if it flows logically. Observing the way a person connects facts and arguments can be a useful tool when trying to validate his or her opinion about more technical aspects. For example, I do not have the expertise to determine whether a biotech drug will be effective or not, but I can read a research report written by a biotech analyst and form an opinion based on the other verifiable elements. Do the statements that the analyst makes flow logically? When he or she uses data to make an argument, is the conclusion consistent with the data points? There is a saying that goes, “How you do anything is how you do everything.” If someone is consistent and logical in one area of analysis, it is often an indication that he is likely to be doing quality work in other areas. This is a great starting point. Then, follow that up by keeping track of the individual’s statements over time. Being consistent with this process can serve as the foundation of an effective research outsourcing process. Rule #3 – These Markets Aren’t Clean, But That Doesn’t Mean There Isn’t Opportunity To some degree, it is virtually impossible these days to avoid the presence of manipulated markets. Recently, it was discovered that the LIBOR has been manipulated as well. Sadly, it is best to assume that a market is not necessarily pure until verified otherwise. However, this doesn’t mean that the market cannot be traded. While the Federal Reserve might not choose to phrase it in this manner, its main purpose is to manipulate US interest rates. It is using open-market operations to force the cost of borrowing to a level that deviates from what the free market would normally price. The results are asset bubbles, seen with increasing regularity. If one is unfamiliar with the business cycle as explained by the Austrian school of economics, events such as the collapse of the mortgage market came as a great surprise. But when one is clear on the eventual outcomes of the misallocation of capital, these events are predictable – and there is great opportunity in understanding how these situations must ultimately unfold. The key is to pay attention to what is going on and know what you are getting into before you invest. You Can Be Empowered with Your Knowledge, Unlike Any Other Time in History Despite all of the pitfalls, it’s important to remember that you also have advantages on your side, unlike in any other time in history. The advances in computing technology and the arrival of the Internet provide new levels of access to trading platforms and information-sharing that did not previously exist. In the past, investors without a seat on the floor or a relationship with a big firm were at a significant disadvantage. Now, with access to electronic brokerage platforms and unlimited research, the playing field has become more level than ever. Today any investor with the ability to think strategically has the opportunity to participate in the markets and succeed. If you think markets are rigged now, you should have seen how bad they were 80 years ago. That does not mean there are no challenges, as it’s important to develop the ability to know how to sift through all of the options and know what to choose. But there are many great people doing honest and useful research. And when you have carefully verified the sources, the ability to make informed decisions increases significantly. Continued due diligence and a commitment to learning will continue to provide you with the ability to trade successfully while protecting the safety of your assets. We’ll probably see more messes like the Facebook IPO in the future; however, with a little luck and some common sense, you can avoid the worst of it. Friday Funnies And now for our Thanksgiving Friday Funnies. Here’s a few from the incredibly funny website And after stuffing our faces and giving thanks for what we have, it’s: The next one is not a Thanksgiving joke, but too good to pass up. And one last turkey joke… Oh, no… That’s it for today. I hope that you had an excellent Thanksgiving holiday and that you’ve made it through Black Friday with only minimal bruises and injuries. I’ll be with you one more week, but then David should return to the Friday CDD in December. See you next week, and don’t forget to check out the International Speculator half-price offer. It’s a one-day-only deal, so don’t miss out. Thank you for reading and subscribing to Casey Daily Dispatch. Vedran Vuk Casey Senior Analystlast_img read more

Japans SoftBank prepares listing of mobile unit

© 2018 AFP Citation: Japan’s SoftBank prepares listing of mobile unit (2018, February 7) retrieved 18 July 2019 from This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. The news on Wednesday came shortly before SoftBank announced a 20 percent jump in net profit in the nine months to December thanks to US tax cuts and the strong performance of its huge investment fund Japan’s SoftBank Group soars on listing reports Explore further Japanese telecoms giant SoftBank on Wednesday said it had begun preparing to list its mobile unit in a move reports said could raise up to $18 billion, making it one of the country’s biggest ever initial public offerings. In a statement the company said it had “commenced preparations to list SB (mobile unit) shares”, which would give the unit “greater managerial autonomy to develop its own growth strategy”.Reports emerged last month that the company was considering the move, and it acknowledged at the time that an IPO was “an option”, while saying no final decision had been made.The Nikkei economic daily, which first reported the plan, said the listing could bring in two trillion yen ($18 billion).That could rival the record 2.2 trillion yen that formerly state-run Nippon Telegraph and Telephone raised in 1987.The news on Wednesday came shortly before SoftBank announced a 20 percent jump in net profit in the nine months to December thanks to US tax cuts and the strong performance of its huge investment fund.The reports last month suggested SoftBank hoped to apply to the Tokyo Stock Exchange in the coming months and begin trading on the bourse in the last quarter of the year, offering around 30 percent of the shares in its subsidiary up to investors.There was no confirmation of those details in SoftBank’s statement.”With the IPO of SoftBank’s Japan operations, the various parts of the company can continue to grow independently,” company head Masayoshi Son said. “This way I can also spend more time on longer-term global corporate strategy.”SoftBank is making a concerted effort to invest in technology firms through its $100 billion Vision Fund investment vehicle. Last year it bought a 15 percent stake in ride-sharing giant Uber—which sources said was worth $7.7 billion—while it also has piled cash into Uber’s Chinese rival Didi Chuxing.The statement on Wednesday, however, remained cautious, saying “there is a possibility that a decision not to list SB shares could be made following reviews and studies conducted during the preparation process”.The firm also said net profit for April-December came in at 1.01 trillion yen, up 20 percent from the same period a year earlier.Operating profit soared 23.6 percent to 1.15 trillion yen, in part due to the value of investments in the Vision Fund—a venture capital fund set up with Saudi Arabia’s government and other investors.The company said US tax cuts also “resulted in a decline in income taxes” and “an increase in other comprehensive income”.It also noted a sound performance by its US wireless unit Sprint.Sales edged up 3.5 percent to 6.81 trillion yen, it said.SoftBank did not release earnings estimates for the fiscal year through March 2018, which is not unusual for the company. read more

American Airlines orders 47 Boeing 787s cancels A350 order

Citation: American Airlines orders 47 Boeing 787s, cancels A350 order (2018, April 7) retrieved 18 July 2019 from © 2018 AFP American Airlines has ordered 47 Boeing 787 Dreamliners in a deal valued at $12 billion at list prices, while cancelling a major order for Airbus A350s. Explore further India’s Jet Airways to buy 75 Boeing jets in multi-billion dollar order This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. American Airlines has ordered 47 Boeing 787 Dreamliners comprising 22 787-8s scheduled to begin arriving in 2020 and 25 787-9s scheduled to begin arriving in 2023 The order comprises 22 787-8s scheduled to begin arriving in 2020 and 25 787-9s scheduled to begin arriving in 2023. They will gradually replace Boeing 767s and 777s along with European Airbus A330s, American said Friday.The sale brings American Airlines’ total number of 787s to 89 aircraft. Though the total value is $12 billion at list price, the final price paid by airlines is generally lower.American Airlines said: “As part of the strategy to simplify its fleet, American agreed with Airbus today to terminate its order for 22 A350s, which was originally placed by US Airways,” which it bought in 2013.”This was a difficult decision between the Boeing 787 and the Airbus A350 and A330neo and we thank both manufacturers for their aggressive efforts to earn more of American’s business. In the end, our goal to simplify our fleet made the 787 a more compelling choice,” said American Airlines president Robert Isom.Chief financial officer Derek Kerr added advantages of carrying common fleet types included “creating less friction in our operation when aircraft swaps are necessary, reducing inventory needs, and creating a more consistent service for customers and team members.”American Airlines also said it had deferred delivery of 40 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft previously scheduled to arrive between 2020 and 2022. The carrier said the revised schedule “will better align with planned retirements of other narrowbody aircraft.”The order for US manufacturer Boeing comes in the wake of protectionist trade measures by President Donald Trump, who champions buying from US manufacturers.”We are extremely honored that American Airlines is deepening its commitment to the 787 Dreamliner,” said Boeing Commercial Airplanes president Kevin McAllister in a statement. Boeing says it has more than 1,350 orders registered for the 787.Meanwhile, Airbus announced earlier Friday it recorded 45 net orders during the first three months of 2018, and delivered 121 aircraft. The company said its overall backlog of jetliners to be delivered stood at 7,189 as of March 31. read more